Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000130 0.000143 0.000157 0.000173 0.000191 0.000210 0.000232
2025-11-23 0.000103 0.000121 0.000143 0.000169 0.000202 0.000240 0.000288
2025-11-30 0.000089 0.000111 0.000137 0.000172 0.000217 0.000274 0.000352
2025-12-07 0.000080 0.000103 0.000134 0.000176 0.000233 0.000309 0.000420
2025-12-14 0.000070 0.000094 0.000126 0.000172 0.000238 0.000329 0.000470
2025-12-21 0.000062 0.000085 0.000118 0.000166 0.000237 0.000341 0.000507
2025-12-28 0.000057 0.000081 0.000115 0.000167 0.000247 0.000368 0.000570
2026-01-04 0.000053 0.000077 0.000112 0.000168 0.000257 0.000396 0.000638
2026-01-11 0.000049 0.000073 0.000108 0.000166 0.000260 0.000414 0.000692
2026-01-18 0.000046 0.000070 0.000106 0.000166 0.000268 0.000440 0.000762
2026-01-25 0.000043 0.000066 0.000102 0.000164 0.000271 0.000457 0.000818
2026-02-01 0.000040 0.000063 0.000100 0.000164 0.000279 0.000484 0.000895
2026-02-08 0.000038 0.000060 0.000097 0.000162 0.000283 0.000504 0.000965
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000056 0.000092 0.000158 0.000282 0.000516 0.001022
2026-02-22 0.000033 0.000055 0.000091 0.000160 0.000294 0.000554 0.001137
2026-03-01 0.000032 0.000054 0.000091 0.000164 0.000308 0.000597 0.001271
2026-03-08 0.000030 0.000051 0.000088 0.000160 0.000308 0.000614 0.001348
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000047 0.000083 0.000155 0.000303 0.000617 0.001393
2026-03-22 0.000026 0.000046 0.000082 0.000155 0.000311 0.000651 0.001519
2026-03-29 0.000025 0.000045 0.000081 0.000157 0.000321 0.000689 0.001661
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000043 0.000079 0.000154 0.000323 0.000708 0.001759
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000042 0.000077 0.000155 0.000331 0.000744 0.001905
2026-04-19 0.000022 0.000040 0.000075 0.000153 0.000332 0.000763 0.002011